Picture: www.imerisia.gr
The number of potential jobs in Greece for the period 2010-2020 is estimated at more than 1,777,000. Although the expansion demand will continue to be limited (potential jobs will decrease by 227,000), the replacement demand due to workers who retire, emigrate or resign for personal reasons (forecasts are of a total of 1,404,000 people), will create a lot of gaps which will need to be filled.
These forecasts are included in the notes of the European Centre for the Development of Vocational Training and data will be updated in the spring of 2014.
Which occupations will have the most job opportunities in 2010-2020 in Greece? New jobs for skilled workers in agriculture and fisheries will be about 270,000, where the new jobs will have a negative number (- 93,000), but the replacement demand of 363,000 people (mainly due to retirement) will create a positive balance.
Employees in the service sector and sellers (162,000 jobs), are next, followed by other staff (157, 000), lawyers, senior administrative staff, managers (about 156,000, but new jobs will be reduced by 52,000), as well as technicians from all specialties (139,000).
As for the financial activities sector, transport and distribution of goods will have the most job opportunities in the decade (448,000, of which 46,000 are expected to be new).
The primary sector is next, with 290,000 jobs, followed by business and other services (207,000).
Vacancies in the construction sector will be 32,000, mainly because of retirement, since the tendency for the creation of new jobs is markedly negative (-45,000). The situation in the processing sector will be similar (66,000 jobs that will be the result of the reduction of jobs by 56,000, but also because of the replacement demand of 122,000 workers).
In total, there will be more than 84 million job opportunities in the EU from 2010 to 2020. Of these, however, only 7.877 million will be absolutely new, the rest will come from the replacement demand of 76,208,000 workers.
Differences in relation to Greece in terms of sectors and positions which will take advantage of these opportunities are significant. In particular, technicians from all specialties and related professions will get more opportunities in the EU (16,561,000), as well as most new jobs - 5,060,000. Organizational staff is next (15,055,000 job opportunities and 2,727,000 new jobs).
The business and other services sector plans to launch more than 24 million jobs in the period (of which 5,819,000 new) and 21 million (of which 2,838,000 new) in transport.
The majority of employment opportunities in the European Union will be associated with people with high and medium competences and professional qualities and the percentage of new jobs for people with high professional qualifications is very high (13,426,000 jobs). Only 9,245,000 are expected to be job opportunities for people with low qualifications, and the trend of opening of new vacancies will be negative (- 10,182,000).
The notes also pay special attention to the case of the new member of the EU – Croatia. The labour market there has some "interesting differences" compared to other EU countries. The country's labour force is slightly younger compared to the average in the EU, and the number of people with secondary education is greater in comparison to the entire EU, and respectively, the low-skilled are less. In comparison to other EU countries, the level of employment in agriculture and processing is relatively low in Croatia. Although it is foreseen that the level of employment in the EU will be restored to its pre-crisis levels in 2017-2018, that will happen only in 2020 in Croatia.
Between 2013 and 2020, the majority of job opportunities in Croatia are expected in the transport and distribution of goods sector. In parallel, the replacement demand is expected to be 7-fold higher compared to new jobs by 2020.